They might have finished second in the Premier League and made it to the semi-finals of the Champions League, but we aren’t sure anyone at Arsenal would consider this season to be a success.
Long gone are the days in which a top-four finish was celebrated like a trophy at the Emirates, as, thanks to Mikel Arteta and Co, the team are now serious contenders for every competition they enter – meaning a third runners-up medal in as many league campaigns is far from ideal.
Considering the team created the best defence in the league while scoring 17 goals fewer than the eventual winners, it’s pretty clear that to help the squad get over the line next year, the board must invest in offensive players.
This line of thinking may help to explain Arsenal’s reported interest in Aston Villa’s brilliant Morgan Rogers, although even if he were to join the club, he’d be worth millions less than one of his new teammates.
Why Arsenal want Rogers
So, if the reported price tag of around £100m proves to be true, just why do Arsenal want to spend that sort of money on one player, and would he even be worth it?
Well, the answer to the second question is most certainly yes, and there are a few reasons why, starting with his output.
For example, in 54 appearances for Villa this season, totalling 4496 minutes, the Halesowen-born star was able to score 14 goals and provide 15 assists.
That comes out to an average of a goal involvement every 1.86 games or every 155.03 minutes, and that is just the sort of offensive capability the North Londoners need in their squad.
For example, Martin Odegaard is the team’s current starting attacking midfielder, and while he’s been brilliant in seasons past, he really struggled this year, ending the campaign with six goals and 12 assists in 45 appearances, totalling 3447 minutes, which comes out to a goal involvement on average every 2.5 games, or every 191.5 minutes.
Just imagine if Arteta could take the Norwegian off, or rest him completely, and start the dynamic Englishman in his place.
Finally, at just 22 years old, the five-capped international could grow alongside some of the team’s other younger stars, and then there is his ability to play in multiple positions, from midfield to out wide.
Rogers’ positional versatility |
|||
---|---|---|---|
Position |
Appearances |
Goals |
Assists |
Left Winger |
83 |
21 |
9 |
Attacking Midfield |
46 |
14 |
10 |
Right Winger |
39 |
9 |
13 |
Centre-Forward |
21 |
6 |
4 |
Left Midfield |
8 |
3 |
1 |
Right Midfield |
6 |
1 |
3 |
Second Striker |
1 |
0 |
0 |
All Stats via Transfermarkt |
Yet, even then and at the fee reported, Rogers would be joining Arsenal with a lower valuation than one of his new teammates.
The Arsenal star worth millions more than Rogers
Now, while Arsenal are blessed with a host of incredibly talented players these days, from Declan Rice and David Raya to William Saliba and Jurrien Timber, it’ll likely come as no surprise that the star in question is none other than Bukayo Saka.
The Hale End superstar has developed into a talismanic figure in North London since his debut under Unai Emery, and his valuation reflects that, with the CIES Football Observatory pricing him at a whopping €157m earlier this year.
That converts to a staggering £132m, or £32m more than Rogers could end up costing the Gunners this summer, and while that is a sizable difference, it would be hard to argue it’s not fair.
Saka vs Rogers in 24/25 |
||
---|---|---|
Players |
Saka |
Rogers |
Appearances |
37 |
54 |
Minutes |
2619′ |
4496′ |
Goals |
12 |
14 |
Assists |
14 |
15 |
Goal Involvements per Match |
0.70 |
0.53 |
Minutes per Goal Involvements |
2619′ |
155.03′ |
All Stats via Transfermarkt |
For example, even though the 23-year-old missed over three months of the season with a hamstring injury that required surgery, he was still able to rack up a sensational haul of 12 goals and 14 assists in 37 appearances, totalling just 2619 minutes.
That means the North Londoners’ “future legend,” dubbed by talent scout Jacek Kulig, maintained an average of a goal involvement every 1.42 games, or 100.73 minutes, which is not only better than the Villa ace managed but also simply world-class.
Okay, how do their pair stack up against one another when we look at their underlying numbers, then? The Claret and Blue star did spend a sizable part of the season out wide.
Well, rather unsurprisingly, it’s the 43-capped superstar who once again comes out on top, doing better in almost all relevant metrics, such as actual and expected non-penalty goals plus assists, progressive passes and carries, shot and goal-creating actions, successful take-ons, tackles, shots and shots on target, key passes and more, all per 90.
Saka vs Rogers |
||
---|---|---|
Statistics per 90 |
Saka |
Rogers |
Non-Penalty Expected G+As |
0.71 |
0.42 |
Non-Penalty G+As |
0.78 |
0.52 |
Progressive Passes |
3.65 |
3.55 |
Progressive Passes Received |
13.3 |
5.43 |
Progressive Carries |
5.00 |
3.29 |
Shots |
3.44 |
1.59 |
Shots on Target |
1.15 |
0.58 |
Passing Accuracy |
75.5% |
73.2% |
Expected Assists |
0.41 |
0.15 |
Key Passes |
3.02 |
1.47 |
Passes into the Final Third |
0.78 |
2.11 |
Passes into the Penalty Area |
1.98 |
1.62 |
Crosses into the Penalty Area |
0.63 |
0.09 |
Live Passes |
33.5 |
24.7 |
Shot-Creating Actions |
6.09 |
3.04 |
Goal-Creating Actions |
1.20 |
0.46 |
Tackles |
1.51 |
1.24 |
Blocks |
1.15 |
0.75 |
Interceptions |
0.16 |
0.17 |
Clearances |
0.42 |
0.58 |
Successful Take-Ons |
2.14 |
1.91 |
Ball Recoveries |
3.65 |
3.44 |
All Stats via FBref for the 24/25 Season |
Ultimately, Arsenal should be looking to sign Rogers this summer, as he’d add far more creativity and attacking flair to the team, but he’d have to hit the ground running to see his valuation even approach Saka’s.
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