Will Wolverhampton Wanderers require a major summer rebuild?
Wolves were in the relegation zone when Vítor Pereira was appointed in December, but he managed to win ten of his 22 Premier League fixtures in charge, including leading the club to their first six-match winning streak in the top division since October 1970.
This saw the Old Gold finish 16th, 17 points clear of the drop zone, but, with many of their key assets coveted by other clubs, it is set to be a busy summer at Molineux.
That has all started with Matheus Cunha’s departure.
Why Matheus Cunha was a wanted man
On Sunday afternoon, it was officially announced that Cunha had joined Manchester United, the Red Devils paying his reported £62.5m release clause.
This is obviously a blow for Wolves because, as Matt Furniss of Opta’s the Analyst outlines, he has been Wolves’ ‘most influential player’ across the last two seasons, describing Cunha as a ‘revelation’ and praising his consistent ability to over-perform his xG statistics.
Meantime, Steve Madeley of the Athletic notes that the Brazilian has undoubtedly been ‘Wolves’ player of the season’, adding that very rarely is an entire campaign linked ‘so intrinsically to one player’, with Cunha always the main character, ‘for better and worse’.
Since making him move from Atlético Madrid permanent for £44m two summers ago, Cunha has scored 31 goals in 72 appearances for the club, numbers that are going to be difficult for anyone to replicate.
However, is a current member of the Wolverhampton Wanderers squad primed and ready to become the main man?
Wolves’ unsung hero ready to step-up after Cunha
When Wolves signed Jørgen Strand Larsen last summer from Celta Vigo, initially on loan but with a £23m obligation to buy, there was very little fanfare, it is fair to say.
Thus, the Norwegian striker certainly surpassed all expectations, scoring 14 Premier League goals, meaning only nine players across the entire division managed more.
The Premier League’s all-time record goalscorer Alan Shearer praised Strand Larsen’s performance during a vital 2-1 victory at Ipswich in April, saying “his hold-up play was excellent… his touch and his control were superb”, adding “I actually think they’ve looked a better team” without Cunha during his four-match suspension.
Meantime, manager Pereira described his form as “fantastic”, adding “he helped the team” a lot.
Nevertheless, the key question remains: does Strand Larsen have the quality to be Wolves’ main man for goals now that Cunha has departed?
Well, let’s compare the duo in an attempt to answer this question.
Strand Larsen vs Cunha 2024/25 PL comparison |
||
---|---|---|
Statistics |
Larsen |
Cunha |
Appearances |
35 |
33 |
Minutes |
2,603 |
2,603 |
Goals |
14 |
15 |
Assists |
4 |
6 |
Shots |
54 |
110 |
Shots on target % |
61.1% |
40% |
Goals – xG |
+3.7 |
+6.4 |
Big chances missed |
13 |
2 |
Big chances created |
6 |
13 |
Shot-creating actions |
42 |
132 |
Goal-creating actions |
6 |
16 |
Aerial duels won |
67 |
13 |
Touches per 90 |
26 |
54 |
% of touches in opposition box |
15% |
8% |
Stats via Transfermarkt, FBref, Sofascore & Squawka |
As the table outlines, Cunha’s statistics are largely more impressive, which shouldn’t be too surprising, given that he’s the one who has just earned a big-money move to Manchester United.
However, what the table also crystallises is the fact that they are very different types of centre-forward.
Ryan Benson of Opta’s the Analyst labelled Strand Larsen a ‘fox in the box’, documenting how he is a classic target man whose ‘presence alone keeps centre-backs occupied’, an assertion that is supported by the data, with 15% of his touches coming in the opposition penalty area, nearly double the ratio of Cunha.
While the Brazilian ranked second in the Premier League this season for non-penalty goals – xG, his teammate was not too far behind, sat seventh for the same metric.
Strand Larsen also ranked sixth for aerial duels won amongst strikers, albeit his big chances missed tally of 13 leaves room for improvement.
Nevertheless, still only 25 years old, the Norwegian has all the attributes to be a successful centre-forward in this league, so is well-equipped to fill the massive void vacated by the outgoing Cunha.
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